oddshrimp2.4 results

These were run on the same laptop that I used in the contest in 2010, which as I recall is slower than the contest virtual machines were. Bots which need the time may play weaker in my tests than they did in the contest. There are some.

Some of the opponent names here do not match the correct names on the official site. Sorry about that. These are the names I have them stashed under on my laptop.

against old versions of itself

300 games each against earlier versions on random maps. Not reliable for judging strength! Notice the very high draw rate because the bots play so much alike.

botwin ratewinslossesdraws
oddshrimp2.358.7%10351146
oddshrimp2.258.7%11462124
oddshrimp2.161.2%17410719

10-opponent tournament

200 games each against 10 opponents on random maps, 2000 games total. Unfortunately this selection of opponents doesn’t include many near oddshrimp2.4’s strength—it was better designed for judging earlier versions. I include average game lengths, which seem to tell more about style than about playing ability.

botrankwin ratewinslossesdrawsmean winmean loss
GreenTea834.2%661295108 turns95 turns
dmj1111224.8%47148589 turns92 turns
medrimonia1834.5%6312512107 turns134 turns
rebelxt5353.5%1028810101 turns99 turns
fglider6152.2%10495190 turns123 turns
eAshoka65-ish60.5%12078292 turns112 turns
FlagCapper9164.8%12869397 turns153 turns
LudaBot12269.5%13759472 turns168 turns
alocaly13363.0%1267495 turns122 turns
oddshrimp1490-ish76.0%15147290 turns106 turns

18-opponent tournament

150 games each against 18 opponents on random maps, 2700 games total. You don’t need to run statistics or calculate ratings, you can pretty much read off oddshrimp2.4’s most likely ranking from this table. Don’t trust the answer too much, though, because the spread for each individual win rate is higher than people intuitively expect, and the set of opponents is too sparse to nail it down tight.

eAshoka was not an official contestant. Its rank was estimated by its author. I tested its strength myself, and I think the author’s estimate is good. Oddshrimp just happens to have its number.

botrankwin ratewinslossesdraws
iori225.3%341088
GreenTea835.7%50937
dmj1111218.3%271221
wagstaff1736.0%53952
medrimonia1839.0%55887
smloh1965.0%94497
Neverstu2841.7%62871
Manwe3141.3%6288
animatroid3650.3%75741
mogron4657.3%85632
deccan4754.7%746016
rebelxt5355.0%81663
fglider6151.3%7773
eAshoka65-ish65.7%97503
murrayr6749.3%676914
Mistmanov7749.0%69729
E3237854.0%79674
oddshrimp2.190-ish70.7%104424

500-game matches against selected opponents

To get closer numbers for cases I wondered about. I kind of went overboard. Mistmanov and dmj111 score anomalously well against oddshrimp, but murrayr was a statistical outlier in the 18-opponent tournament. Oddshrimp in turn scores anomalously well against eAshoka and smloh. The anomalous scores have to do with style of play: One side makes mistakes that the other happens to be good at exploiting. Smloh’s big mistake, for example, is taking too many neutrals and leaving itself open—apparently that strategy works well against less aggressive opponents.

opponentrankwin ratewinslossesdraws
dmj1111227.7%1363595
smloh1958.1%28320215
Manwe3141.4%2042906
animatroid3654.0%2682284
eAshoka65-ish 68.3%3381557
murrayr6756.6%26119544
Mistmanov7745.9%21825923
E3237858%28120118

December 2013